Is the Government’s loss of support unusual?

A reader inquired if the support lost by the major party of Government since the election is a record. I didn’t think so, but have now gone and checked the data. This compares the 1st 1 News poll of the middle year of a term against the last election result.

  1. 2008: +9%
  2. 1996: +8%
  3. 1999: +8%
  4. 2017: +8%
  5. 1984: +6%
  6. 1993: +3%
  7. 2011: +2%
  8. 1981: +1%
  9. 2014: +0%
  10. 1978: -1%
  11. 1975: -2%
  12. 2005: -2%
  13. 2002: -3%
  14. 2023: -4%
  15. 1987: -9%
  16. 2020: -10%
  17. 1990: -22%

So the biggest gain at the beginning of the mid year was the 2008 – 2011 National Government which was up 9% and the biggest fall was the 1990 – 1993 National Government which was down a massive 22%.

More Governments were up than down in the start of the middle year of their term, but the 4% drop for the Government is far from the biggest fall.

Comments (56)

Login to comment or vote

Add a Comment