US presidential election forecast E-7

One week to go, and the forecasts improve slightly for Trump.

All but one of the forecasts now has Trump winning Nevada also, giving him five of the seven swing states and a 287 to 251 victory. Nevada is important as with it, he can afford to lose Georgia or North Carolina yet still win. However Pennsylvania remains a must win for Trump (and Harris). If Trump loses Pennsylvania he loses 268 to 270.

All three forecasts that do a probability estimate have increased Trump from around a 52% to 54% chance of winning. Still very much a toss up.