Where Harris has gained from Biden
Politico has looked at the cross-tabs of Biden vs Trump polls and Harris vs Trump polls to see where has Harris gained relative to Biden. This is how much the gap between Harris and Trump has moved in her favour, compared to Biden and Trump.
- Young +17%
- Blacks +12%
- Independents +9%
- Democrats +7%
- WOMEN +7%
- Hispanics +6%
- Overall +5%
- Non-college educated +5%
- College-educated +3%
This indicates she has both motivated traditional Democratic voters (young, black) but also has increased appeals with non-base voters such as independents and non-college educateds. It’s a solid start.
Of course these are national polls. What will matter most is how the swing states move.