Kiwiblog’s 2024 predictions
Here’s my 20 predictions for 2024, which I’ll score at the end of the year. I got 16/20 right for 2023.
- The three parties of Government will outpoll the three parties of opposition in at least 90% of public polls in 2024
- The 2024 Budget will project a surplus by 2027
- The new Public Service Commissioner will not be a current public servant
- Donald Trump will win the GOP nomination for President
- At least three Labour List MPs will resign in 2024
- Chloe Swarbrick will replace James Shaw as Greens co-leader
- There will be at least one by-election in 2024
- The Spinoff buys Stuff
- Donald Trump is convicted on at least one charge and sentenced to jail time
- A City Mayor resigns in 2024
- Floating mortgage rates are below 7% by the end of 2024
- Economic growth in 2024 will be higher than in 2023
- The minimum wage will be increased by 50 cents
- Joe Biden is confirmed as the Democratic nominee for President
- Chris Hipkins will remain Leader of the Labour Party
- The Russia-Ukraine war will end
- The UK Labour Party forms a majority Government
- A Te Pati Maori MP will be named by the Speaker
- Donald Trump will be re-elected President in November
- Two Ministers will take maternity leave