Who are the likely MPs in the 54th Parliament

On my Patreon (paywalled) I have been analysing the electorate races over the last few weeks.

The summary of all 72 electorates is at this post.

A projection of overall seats in Parliament and likely List MPs is here.

At this stage the projected seats for parties that want to change the Government are 66 (including Port Waikato) and Government supporting parties 55.