Roy Morgan poll July 2023

The July 2023 Roy Morgan is out.

Party Vote

• Labour 26.0% (-4.5% from June)
• National 33.5% (+3.5%)
• Greens 9.0% (-0.5%)
• ACT 14.0% (-1.0%)
• Maori 6.0% (-1.0%)
• NZ First 5.0% (+2.0%)
• TOP 4.0% (+1.0%)
• DemocracyNZ 1.0% (nc)

Seats

• Labour 33 (-32 from election)
• National 43 (+10)
• Greens 12 (+2)
• ACT 18 (+8)
• Maori 8 (+6)
• NZ First 6 (+6)

Governments

• Labour/Green 45/120
• National/ACT 61/120
• Labour/Green/Maori 53/120

Direction

• Right 29.0% (-9.0%)
• Wrong 60.5% (+6.5%)
• Net -31.5% (-15.5%)

The party vote for Labour is basically the equal lowest for a governing party since November 1991, when National got 24% in the wake of the 1991 Budget. The only other result this low was 25.5% in November 2022.

On this poll Labour is forecast to lose half of their current seats – from 65 to 33. This would represent the largest loss ever under MMP.

The net country direction is at the lowest level in the history of the Roy Morgan poll (since 2007).