Hosking’s prediction

Mike Hosking writes:

Labour is a bit of an open question between now and election day given so much seems to be a shambles both internally and economically.

The simple equation is this: they look worn out and chaotic, we are in recession, crime is appalling and there is a dangerous malaise and growing anger around the running of the country.

But large parties bottom out in the 20s, so it’ll be a bad night but not necessarily catastrophic.

So, my call is: National 38-42 per cent; Act 12-15 per cent, an easy election-night victory; Labour 29-32 per cent; Greens 6-7 per cent.

That would certainly be a nice result!