Support dropping for The Australian Voice referendum

Later this year Australia will vote in a referendum on a constitutional amendment to recognise a “voice” for indigenous Australians. I don’t intend to get into the arguments for and against in this post, but the change in polling has been quite dramatic. Here is the margin yes has had over no in the Newspoll polls.

• Feb +19%
• Mar +15%
• Apr +14%
• June +3%

To pass they need not just a majority overall, but a majority in at least four of the six states. I’d say NSW, VIC, SA likely to vote yes at this stage and QLD and WA no, so how Tasmania votes may end up important.