Snap Poll on Labour Leadership

A snap Taxpayers’ Union-Curia poll on the Labour Leadership was done on Thursday and Friday. ,The full report is online here. 

There’s been a couple of other polls done in the last 24 hours on the Labour leadership, but with respect the others have asked sub-optimal questions. Just asking who you want to be the next leader is interesting, but not insightful.

We asked, for each of the candidates, whether their leadership would make people more or less likely to vote for Labour. And also broke that down by who they voted for last time. This is about establishing electability. This is what Labour MPs want to know.

The poll shows a huge variance in electability between the candidates . Amongst 2020 Labour voters, one candidate increases Labour’s appeal by a net +22% while `It is very clear that Chris Hipkins is the best choice for Labour. I was somewhat surprised by how negative sentiment is towards Michael Wood. Hipkins net impact on 2020 Labour voters is +22% while Wood is -14%.

Also of potential interest are views on what policies voters want the new PM to scrap. The short answer, is lots of them! This is a reminder that it wasn’t so much Jacinda Ardern who was unpopular, but her policies!