How bad was 2022 for the Republicans?
To fully realise how bad the 2022 mid-terms were for the Republicans, you need to compare them to the last two mid-terms for a first term President – 2010 and 2018. The table below shows how well the party not holding the Presidency did in each mid-term.
| Opposition Gains | 2010 | 2018 | 2022 |
| House | +63 | +41 | +5 |
| Senate | +7 | -2 | -1 |
| Governors | +6 | +7 | -3 |
| State Chambers | +21 | +7 | -4 |
So in the House the Republicans gained 63 seats in 2010. The Democrats gained 41 seats in 2018 and in 2022, the Republicans managed a net gain of just five.
In the Senate the Republicans gained seven seats in 2010 and lost one in 2022. To be fair Democrats lost two in 2018, but different seats do come up at different mid-terms in the Senate.
For Governors, Republicans gained six in 2010, Democrats gained seven in 2018 and Republicans lost three in 2022.
Finally we have state chambers. A huge wave in 2010 saw the Republicans flip 21 state chambers. The Democrats flipped seven in 2018. In 2022 the Republicans went backwards, losing (so far) five chambers.
So the Republicans will need to make serious changes for 2024 if they want to win.