Kiwiblog’s 2022 Predictions
I forgot to do these for 2021, but my annual predictions (emulating Stuff) are back. Here’s my 20 predictions for this year, which I’ll score at the end of the year.
- Peeni Henare will not be Minister of Defence by the end of 2022
- There will be a by-election in 2022
- NZ First will record at least 4% in at least once public poll
- By the end of 2022 (after five years) the Government will not have achieved even 5% of its ten year targets for houses or trees
- The Republicans will win the House and the Senate in the mid terms
- Phil Goff will not be re-elected Mayor of Auckland
- The Government will back down on Three Waters having equal co-governance between Councils and Iwi
- Paul Eagle will be elected Mayor of Wellington
- By the end of 2022, fewer than 7% of Government vehicles will be emissions free
- Fleur Fitzsimons will be appointed the Labour candidate for Rongotai
- Construction will not have begun in light rail in Auckland
- National will poll over 35% in at least one public poll
- Tim Shadbolt will not be re-elected Mayor of Invercargill
- Boris Johnson will be rolled as Conservative Party Leader
- Labour will repeal the Three Strikes Law
- Donald Trump will announce his candidacy for 2024, if the Republicans gain at least 20 seats in the House and win the Senate
- The Greens will change their rules so both co-leaders can be women
- Labor will win the Australian Federal Election
- At least one area of NZ will be moved into the red level of the Covid traffic light system in 2022
- There will be a state funeral in 2022