Roy Morgan poll November 2021

The November 2021 Roy Morgan is out.

Party Vote

• Labour 36.0% (-3.5% from October)
• National 26.5% (+0.5%)
• Greens 10.5% (nc)
• ACT 17.5% (+1.5%)
• Maori 3.0% (+1.0%)
• NZ First 2.5% (nc)

Seats

• Labour 46 (-19 from election)
• National 34 (+1)
• Greens 14 (+4)
• ACT 22 (+12)
• Maori 4 (+2)

Governments

• Labour/Green 60/120
• National/ACT 56/120

Direction

• Right 46.0% (-2.0%)
• Wrong 44.5% (+6.0%)

This is the first poll since the 2020 election that doesn’t have Labour and Greens able to form a Government. They would need the support of the Maori Party to govern.

The net country direction is on the verge of going negative which is a huge change from the beginning of 2021 when it was a massive +54%.

The gap between the CL and CR varies by gender and age. The gap is:

• All voters +2.5%
• Women +17.5%
• Men -13%
• Women under 50 +32%
• Women over 50 +0%
• Men under 50 -12.5%
• Men over 50 -13.5%

So the CR has large leads with both young and older men. With women, older women are not split equally between Lab/Gre and Nat/ACT while younger women go massively for Lab/Gre – which is what is keeping them competitive.

Note that this poll was conducted before the election of the new National leader.