Sanders’ probabilities of winning the remaining races
These are the 538 probabilities for Sanders for each of the remaining races:
- Hawaii 31%
- Wyoming 27%
- Alaska 23%
- Northern Marianas 20%
- Rhode Island 17%
- Guam 13%
- Oregon 10%
- New Mexico 10%
- Wisconsin 9%
- Puerto Rico 8%
- West Virginia 8%
- South Dakota 8%
- Kansas 7%
- Nebraska 7%
- Connecticut 6%
- Virgin Islands 6%
- Montana 6%
- Indiana 5%
- Kentucky 5%
- New Jersey 4%
- New York 4%
- Ohio 3%
- Arizona 3%
- Maryland 3%
- Pennsylvania 2%
- Illinois 1%
- Louisiana 0.7%
- Georgia 0.7%
- DC 0.5%
- Delaware 0.1%
- Florida 0%
So it is likely he won’t win even a single more state or territory. At best he maybe could win two or three.