Current UK polls
Electoral Calculus has the latest projection based on average of the polls:
- Conservatives 43% (nc), 365 seats (+47)
- Labour 30% (-11%), 202 seats (-60)
- Lib Dems 15% (+7%), 20 seats (+8)
- SNP 4% (+1%), 41 seats (+6)
Overall projection is a Conservative majority of 80.
In terms of possible outcomes they predict:
- Conservative majority 75%
- Lab minority 12%
- Hung Parliament 10%
An interesting factoid is that the last time Labour won an election in the UK without Tony Blair as Leader was 45 years ago.