Latest poll

The latest Newshub Reid Research poll is:

• National 43.9% (+6.5%)
• Labour 41.6% (-9.2%)
• Greens 6.3% (+0.1%)
• NZ First 4.0% (+1.2%)
• ACT 1.4% (+0.6%)

Seats on this poll has CL 62 and CR 58 so a 2% further swing would see this being a one term Government.

By contrast the same poll in October 2010 (National’s 1st term) had National at 54% and Labour at 33%.

Also Key in October 2010 was at 51% Preferred PM. Ardern has dropped 11% to 38% Preferred PM, well below Key at the same period.