538 says 75% chance Democrats take the House
538 has launched their forecast for the House for the 2018 elections. Key data is:
- 75% chance Democrats take the House
- Average gain for Democrats is projected to be 35 seats
- Current result projection is 230 seats for Democrats and 205 for GOP
The breakdown of seats by probability is:
- Definite Dem 190
- Likely Dem 11 (=201)
- Lean Dem 14 (=215)
- Toss Up 15 (=230)
- Lean GOP 17
- Likely GOP 55
- Definite GOP 133
If the Democrats do take the House, will they try and impeach Trump?