538 predictions

Some interesting predictions from 538 staff. They have each done a prediction they think is 90% likely, one which is 50/50 and one which is only 10% likely. So by category their predictions are:

90% likely

1. Democrats will pick up at least 14 seats in the House of Representatives in 2018 (note they need 24 for control)
2. The government won’t shut down.
3. The Mueller investigation will not end in 2018

50/50

1. Democrats win both the House and the Senate.
2. Jared Kushner gets indicted
3. Someone resigns (not sacked) from Trump’s Cabinet in 2018.

10% likely

1. Republicans get rid of the Senate filibuster in 2018
2. Justice Department indicts Hillary Clinton
3. That H R McMaster, James Mattis, Jared Kushner, Ivanka Trump and John Kelly are all gone by the end of 2018

Feel free in the comments to make your own three predictions in the same format – 90%, 50/50 and 10%. They can be on US or NZ politics.