Public polls October 2017

The latest public polls. Note only one poll in October which was done after the election but before the coalition decision.

The monthly newsletter summary is:

Curia’s Polling Newsletter – Issue 113, September and October 2017

There were six political voting polls in September – a Roy Morgan, two Newshub Reid Research and three One News Colmar Bruntons.  Since the election there was one Roy Morgan poll in October.

The average of the public polls in September had National just 3% ahead of Labour, a smaller gap than the actual 7.5% gap in the election. In October, the Roy Morgan poll had National 15% ahead of Labour but this was done before the Government was formed.

 The seat projection for September was centre-right 54 seats, centre-left 57 which correctly forecast NZ First holding the balance of power. In October, it is CR 58 and CL 52.

We show the current New Zealand poll averages for party vote, country direction and preferred PM compared to three months ago, a year ago, three years ago and nine years ago. This allows easy comparisons between terms and Governments.

National’s party vote in October was 2% below a year ago and 2% higher than three years ago.

 Labour’s party vote was 4% higher than a year ago and 8% higher than three years ago.

In the United States Trump’s net approval rating has worsened to -18%.

In the UK, Theresa May’s net approval slumps further to -24% as rumours of a leadership challenge abound.

In Australia, Turnbull has also had a very bad month with his net approval falling to -28%.

In Canada, the Liberals are currently projected to win 179 out of 338 seats.

We also carry details of polls on medical cannabis as well as business and consumer confidence.

This newsletter is normally only available by e-mail.  If you would like to receive future issues, please go to http://curia.us10.list-manage.com/subscribe?u=e9168e04adbaaaf75e062779e&id=8507431512 to subscribe yourself.