Who is an MP on current public polls
Now all the party lists are out we can look at who are the likely MPs based on the average of the public polls. The current average has
- National 54 seats, 40 electorate and 14 list
- Labour 42 seats, 27 electorate and 15 list
- NZ First 13 seats, 1 electorate and 12 list
- Greens 9 seats, 9 list
- Maori Party 2 seats, 2 electorate
- ACT 1 seat, 1 electorate
The electorate seats are based on an assumption of the current party holding them except where a public poll shows otherwise. So we have Ohariu going to Labour and Te Tai Hauauru to Maori Party as public polls have shown them leading.
So who would be the List MPs. They are
National
- Bill English
- David Carter
- Steven Joyce
- Chris Finlayson
- Michael Woodhouse
- Paul Goldsmith
- Alfred Ngaro
- Brett Hudson
- Melissa Lee
- Kanwal JS Bakshi
- Jian Yang
- Paramjit Parmar
- Jo Hayes
- Chris Bishop
Labour
- Andrew Little
- David Parker
- Priyanca Radhakrishan
- Raymond Huo
- Jan Tinetti
- Willow-Jean Prime
- Kiri Allan
- Willie Jackson
- Jo Luxton
- Liz Craig
- Marja Lubeck
- Trevor Mallard
- Tamati Coffey
- Jamie Strange
- Anahila Kanongata’a-Suisuiki
Greens
- James Shaw
- Marama Davidson
- Julie Anne Genter
- Eugenie Sage
- Gareth Hughes
- Jan Logie
- Chloe Swarbrick
- Golriz Ghahraman
- Mojo Mathers
NZ First
- Ron Mark
- Tracey Martin
- Fletcher Tabuteau
- Darroch Ball
- Clayton Mitchell
- Mark Patterson
- Shane Jones
- Jenny Marcroft
- Mahesh Bindra
- Pita Paraone
- Ria Bond
- Denis O’Rourke
Note the public poll average includes polls taken before the Labour and Greens changes so I expect the numbers will change as the older polls fade (after five weeks they disappear) and new ones come in.