Public Polls July 2017

A lot has happened since July, but for this is how things stood at the end of July with Labour’s low polling leading to the demise of Andrew Little, and then in early August the Greens’ poll drop leading to the demise of Metiria Turei. Never let it be said polls don’t have a real impact!

The Curia newsletter summary for July is:

Curia’s Polling Newsletter – Issue 111, July 2017

There were four political voting polls in July – a Roy Morgan a Newshub Reid Research and two One New Colmar Bruntons.  The July polling led to the demise of Labour Leader Andrew Little.

The average of the public polls saw National 19% ahead of Labour in July, down 2% from June.

 The seat projection for July was centre-right 60 seats, centre-left 46 which would see the Maori Party hold the balance of power.

We show the current New Zealand poll averages for party vote, country direction and preferred PM compared to three months ago, a year ago, three years ago and nine years ago. This allows easy comparisons between terms and Governments.

National’s party vote is around the same as a year ago but down from three years ago.

Labour’s party vote in July was below a year ago, and three years ago,

In the United States Trump’s net approval rating has fallen 5% to -18%.

In the UK, the country direction is massively pessimistic with a net 24% decline over two months.

In Australia, both Turnbull and Shorten have -20% approval ratings.

In Canada, the Liberals increase slightly to an 8% lead over the Conservatives.

We also carry details of polls on Todd Barclay, Metiria Turei, euthanasia, tourist tax, immigration, America’s Cup, plastic bag levy, and cannabis as well as business and consumer confidence.

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