October public polls

The average of the polls over the last three years. Three years ago Labour were polling 35%.

Curia’s monthly newsletter is out. The summary is:

Curia’s Polling Newsletter – Issue 102, October 2016

There was just one political voting poll in October 2016 – a Roy Morgan. 

The average (of one) of the public polls has National 21% ahead of Labour in October, up 6% from September.

The current seat projection is centre-right 61 seats, centre-left 47 which would see a National-led Government with ACT and United Future.

We show the current New Zealand poll averages for party vote, country direction and preferred PM compared to three months ago, a year ago, three years ago and nine years ago. This allows easy comparisons between terms and Governments.

In the United States while Clinton is still seen as twice as likely to win as Trump, the Electoral College is looking very close. Trump currently leads in states worth 266 votes. He is only 2.0% behind in New Hampshire which would give him 270.

In the UK Labour slumps further to 27%, 4% lower than a year ago.

In Australia Turnbull’s net approval rating has fallen to below where Tony Abbott is when he was rolled.

In Canada there is little change where almost two thirds say the country is heading in the right direction.

We also carry details of polls on euthanasia plus the normal business and consumer confidence polls.

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