Areas most likely to support a party
Some very neat work by the Herald data team which has compared election results to the demographics of each meshblock and calculated which areas are most likely to vote for or not for a party.
This is based on the characteristics of a meshblock (often 200 or so houses) so is not the same as individual data, but is likely to be pretty accurate.
Here’s some interesting factors for each party:
Labour – more likely
- Pasifika
- No kids
- Maori
- No qualifications
- Smokers
- Doctorates
Labour – less likely
- Europeans
- Self-employed
- FT employed
- PT employed
- State house tenants (counter intuitive, but this is voting in areas with high numbers of tenants – not necessairly the tenants themselves)
- Couples
- Home owners
- FT students
National – more likely
- Europeans
- FT employed
- Asians
- Born in NZ
- State house tenants
National – less likely
- Pacifika
- Maori
- No kids
- Smokers
- No qualifications
Greens – more likely
- Self-employed
- No religion
- No kids
- Maori
- European
- Bachelors Degree
- Student Allowance
Greens – less likely
- Born in NZ
- FT employed
- Asian
- Over 65s
- Have children
NZ First – more likely
- Maori
- Europeans
- No qualifications
- Couples
- Smokers
NZ First – less likely
- Bachelors degree
- Self-employed
- Over 65s (again this is people in areas with lots of over 65s, not necessarily the over 65s)
- FT employed