Trump’s numbers get worse
Donald Trump has hit a new low in polling, with 70% of Americans having an unfavourable view of him, including a massive 56% who say their view is strongly unfavourable.
Here’s his unfavourables by demographics:
- All 70%
- Republicans 34%
- Independents 68%
- Conservatives 52%
- Moderates 73%
- Women 77%
- Men 62%
- Whites 59%
- Non-whites 88%
Clinton is now at 75% probability to win in the prediction markets. I’d be tempted to buy some Clinton stock as it is hard to see Trump having a path to victory now. If 56% of the electorate strongly dislike you, that is hard to change. Even in demographics that should be supportive of him, he has over 50% unfavourables – conservatives at 52%, men 62% and whites 59%.