Will Republicans vote for Trump
As Trump looks more and more likely to win the Republican nomination, the question is will Republicans vote for him as a lesser evil to Clinton?
538 has an interesting looks at which elections saw the most defections from a party’s presidential candidate.
The top 10 in order are:
- 33% of Democrats defected in 1980 to Reagan
- 33% of Democrats defected in 1972 to Nixon
- 27% of Republicans defected in 1992 to Clinton and Perot
- 26% of Democrats defected in 1984 to Reagan
- 26% of Democrats defected in 1968 Nixon and Wallace
- 23% of Democrats defected in 1952 to Eisenhower
- 23% of Democrats defected in 1992 to Perot/Bush
- 20% of Republicans defected in 1964 to LBJ
- 19% of Republicans defected in 1996 to Clinton
- 17% of Democrats defected in 1998 to Bush
The last four elections have had low levels of defections – under 15%. Will 2016 break the trend?