Redell on Labour’s stiff arming threats
Former Reserve Bank economist Michael Reddell writes:
But I still have no idea what, if anything, Labour is proposing the government or the Reserve Bank should do to “stiff arm” the banks, to prevent widespread sales. I’m pretty sure there are no existing legal powers that could appropriately be used for that purpose. Of course, behind the scenes all sorts of threats and pressures could be brought to bear, but surely that isn’t how we want to country to be run?
I think most people don’t. It the sort of talk you expect from Australian thuggish unions, not the leader of the opposition.
It seems pretty clear that any dairy debt losses are not likely to be large enough to threaten the health of the financial system – especially, as this is a slowly developing situation in which banks have plenty of time to bolster their capital buffers if that is required. And to bailout individual farmers, or the sector as a whole, would represent a material new source of moral hazard – a message to borrowers that they need not bear the consequences of their bad choices. That would only increase future demand for debt – in an industry that seems likely to continue to face considerable output price fluctuations
This is polite talk for it’s a bloody stupid idea.