Some current iPredict probabilities
Some interesting prices and probabilities on iPredict at the moment. They include:
- Green male co-leadership: James Shaw 65%, Kevin Hague 37%
- Wellington Councils amalgamate this year – 4%
- 2017 election: National PM 59%, Labour PM 39%
- NZ First: If hold balance of power 35% chance support National, 205 chance Labour
- TPP signed in 2015: 8%
- 2016 US Presidential Election: Democrats 60%, Republicans 40%