2015 predictions
In emulation of the excellent Fairfax annual predictions, here are my political predictions for 2015. Some serious, and some less so.
- There will be a by-election in 2015
- There will be no changes to the composition of the Key Ministry in 2015
- Two Labour List MPs will leave Parliament in 2015
- The Government will post a small surplus for the 2014/15 fiscal year
- Andrew Little will remain Labour Party Leader
- Jacinda Ardern will be annointed Labour Party Deputy Leader
- Four of the original five charter schools will get good reviews, but one will close
- Not a single members’ bill will pass into law in 2015
- At least one person on Labour’s list, will waive taking up their spot in Parliament, when vacancies occur
- An MP will announce their engagement
- Helen Clark will not stand for UN Secretary-General
- Labour will reach 30% in at least one poll in 2015
- Trevor Mallard will throw Winston Peters out of the House for disorderly conduct
- An MP will get pregnant in 2015
- Whatever decision the Government makes on helping combat the Islamic State, it will be condemned by the Greens
- No ACT MP will be charged with a crime in 2015
- A visit to NZ by David Cameron will be announced in 2015
- The winning design in the first flag referendum (to decide which goes off against the current one) will have a Silver Fern on it
- Claire Trevett will hold onto power as Chair of the Press Gallery, defeating the ABT faction once again
- The Government will not give a cent to Sky City for the convention centre