Projected MPs for 2014 Parliament
This is a projection of who may be in Parliament based on the average of the polls, and using the seat projections of iPredict (I don’t actually agree with all of them, but they are the only complete source of public predictions so I use them).
Those in bold are not current MPs.
National – 58 seats, 40 electorates, 18 list
- Auckland Central – Nikki Kaye
- Bay of Plenty – Todd Muller
- Botany – Jami-Lee Ross
- Clutha-Southland – Todd Barclay
- Coromandel – Scott Simpson
- East Coast – Anne Tolley
- East Coast Bays – Murray McCully
- Hamilton East – David Bennett
- Hamilton West – Tim Macindoe
- Helensville – John Key
- Hunua – Andrey Bayly
- Ilam – Gerry Brownlee
- Invercargill – Sarah Dowie
- Kaikoura – Stuart Smith
- Maungakiekie – Pesata Sam Lotu-Iiga
- Nelson – Nick Smith
- New Plymouth – Jonathan Young
- Northcote – Jonathan Coleman
- Northland – Mike Sabin
- North Shore – Maggie Barry
- Otaki – Nathan Guy
- Pakuranga – Maurice Williamson
- Papakua – Judith Collins
- Rangitata – Jo Goodhew
- Rangitikei – Ian McKelvie
- Rodney – Mark Mitchell
- Rotorua – Todd McClay
- Selwyn – Amy Adams
- Tamaki – Simon O’Connor
- Taranaki-King Country – Barbara Kuriger
- Taupo – Louise Upston
- Tauranga – Simon Bridges
- Tukituki – Craig Foss
- Upper Harbour – Paula Bennett
- Waikato – Lindsay Tisch
- Waimakariri – Matthew Doocey
- Wairarapa – Alastair Scott
- Waitaki – Jacqui Dean
- Whangarei – Shane Reti
- Whanganui – Chester Borrows
- List 1 – Bill English
- List 2 – David Carter
- List 3 – Steven Joyce
- List 4 – Hekia Parata
- List 5 – Chris Finlayson
- List 6 – Tim Groser
- List 7 – Michael Woodhouse
- List 8 – Nicky Wagner
- List 9 – Paul Goldsmith
- List 10 – Melissa Lee
- List 11 – Kanwal Bakshi
- List 12 – Jian Yang
- List 13 – Alfred Ngaro
- List 14 – Brett Hudson
- List 15 – Paul Foster-Bell
- List 16 – Jo Hayes
- List 17 – Parmjeet Parmar
- List 18 – Chris Bishop
Labour – 32 seats, 27 electorates, 5 list
- Christchurch Central – Tony Milne
- Christchurch East – Poto Williams
- Dunedin North – David Clark
- Dunedin South – Clare Curran
- Hauraki-Waikato – Nanaia Mahuta
- Hutt South – Trevor Mallard
- Ikaroa-Rawhiti – Meka Whaitiri
- Kelston – Carmel Sepuloni
- Mana – Kris Faafoi
- Mangere – Su’a William Sio
- Manukau East – Jenny Salesa
- Manurewa – Louisa Wall
- Mt Albert – David Shearer
- Mt Roskill – Phil Goff
- Napier – Stuart Nash
- New Lynn – David Cunliffe
- Palmerston North – Iain Lees-Galloway
- Port Hills – Ruth Dyson
- Rimutaka – Chris Hipkins
- Rongotai – Annette King
- Tamaki Makaurau – Peeni Henare
- Te Atatu – Phil Twyford
- Te Tai Hauauru – Adrian Rurawhe
- Te Tai Tonga – Rino Tirikatene
- West Coast-Tasman – Damien O’Connor
- Wellington Central – Grant Robertson
- Wigram – Megan Woods
- List 1 – David Parker
- List 2 – Jacinda Ardern
- List 3 – Clayton Cosgrove
- List 4 – Sue Moroney
- List 5 – Andrew Little
Greens – 16 seats, 16 list
- List 1 – Metiria Turei
- List 2 – Russel Norman
- List 3 – Kevin Hague
- List 4 – Eugenie Sage
- List 5 – Gareth Hughes
- List 6 – Catherine Delahunty
- List 7 – Kennedy Graham
- List 8 – Julie Anne Genter
- List 9 – Mojo Mathers
- List 10 – Jan Logie
- List 11 – David Clendon
- List 12 – James Shaw
- List 13 – Denise Roche
- List 14 – Steffan Browning
- List 15 – Marama Davidson
- List 16 – Barry Coates
NZ First – 10 seats, 10 list
- List 1 – Winston Peters
- List 2 – Tracey Martin
- List 3 – Richard Prosser
- List 4 – Fletcher Tabuteau
- List 5 – Barbara Stewart
- List 6 – Clayton Mitchell
- List 7 – Denis O’Rourke
- List 8 – Pita Paraone
- List 9 – Ron Mark
- List 10 – Darroch Ball
Internet Mana – 2 seats, 1 electorate, 1 list
- Te Tai Tokerau – Hone Harawira
- List 1 – Laila Harre
Maori Party – 2 seats, 1 electorate, 1 list
- Waiariki – Te Ururoa Flavell
- List 1 – Marama Fox
ACT – 1 seat, 1 electorate
- Epsom – David Seymour
United Future – 1 seat, 1 electorate
- Ohariu – Peter Dunne