Latest polls

Two polls out tonight. They both have National able to form a Government on 49% on TV1 and 47% on TV3. Halfway through the second term, and the same month as NZ’s first asset sale in 14 years – that’s a great result.

Last month TV1 had National at 43% and TV3 on 49%. This month they are broadly agreeing, but of course are showing different trends.

For my money what I think is significant is that in the TV1 poll, both Labour and Greens dropped. This indicate that Greens have lost support to Labour (as Green voters do not swap to National) but in turn Labour is losing even more voters to National.

A policy that promises lower power prices will always be superficially popular, but I think it is a huge strategic mistake as it has Labour competing with the Greens on the left, rather than in the centre. This is not just in their power policy – but across many portfolios – almost all their policies are a lurch to the left of what Clark/Cullen did in Government.  Long may they keep it up!