March 3, 2013 4:25pm by David Farrar

Public Polls February 2013

The graph above shows the average of all the public polls since the 2011 election. Have just published Curia’s monthly newsletter:

February saw just five political polls published in New Zealand – one each from Colmar Brunton, Reid Research and Ipsos and two Roy Morgan polls.

The average of the public polls has National 14% ahead of Labour – the same as January. The seat projection is centre-right 61 seats, centre-left 57.

Australia has Labour and Gillard in trouble. The Coalition lead by 9% to 10% and for the first time Tony Abbott has overtaken Julia Gillard as Preferred Prime Minister.

In the United States Barack Obama’s approval rating is at +8%, and the country direction is -23%. The generic congressional poll average has the Democrats 3% ahead of the Republicans.

In the UK the Conservatives are now 11% behind Labour. They came third in the recent Eastleigh by-election. The Lib Dems retained the seat but the UK Independence Party came second.

In Canada the Conservatives are on 32%, NDP 28% and Liberals 25%.

The normal two tables are provided comparing the country direction sentiment and head of government approval sentiment for the five countries. New Zealand continues to top both by considerable margins.

We also carry details of polls in New Zealand on Hekia Parata, asset sales, four year term, Christchurch jobs, David Bain, same sex marriage, adoption plus the normal business and consumer confidence polls.

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