An Australian election calculator
Antony Green has launched his 2013 election calculator. Antony is the premier election analyst in Australia.
It makes predictions for all 150 seats on the basis of either the swing or two party preferred vote. But it has some additional nifty features.
- Can select the results from a recent poll
- Can set individual swings for each state (and swings do not tend to be uniform across the country)
- Can factor in retiring MPs
- Can over-ride the projected result in a few marginal seats
On the latest (Neilsen) poll Labor is projected to lose 25 seats and win 47 while the Coalition is projected to gain 25 seats and win 98.
On the best poll to date for the Coalition, they would win 110 seats to 35 for Labor.
One can see why some of the Labor MP are thinking the unthinkable and Rudd may challenge again.