Neither Gillard nor Rudd

It is becoming clear that Kevin Rudd will challenge Julia Gillard for the Labor Party leadership. The latest poll has him as Preferred PM by 57% to 35% for Gillard.

However I don’t think he will win. Too many in his caucus hate him, and going back to Rudd will just lead to more infighting.

Gillard though seems to be a walking corpse. Many Australians regard her a a liar and backstabber, and don’t even regard her Government as legitimate. Personally I think it is a pity, because as Labor PMs go I think she is better than Rudd and Keating.

Hence I think that Rudd will challenge Gillard, but the caucus will turn to a third choice to become Leader and Prime Minister.