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December 22, 2011 12:21pm by David Farrar

2012 Predictions

I make 20 predictions for 2012 at Stuff.

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NZ Politics
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Manolo

12. The constitutional review will propose an upper house known as the “Treaty House” which is 50 per cent tangata whenua, and will have similar powers to the House of Lords to scrutinise and delay legislation.

I hope this “prediction” of yours doesn’t come to pass. Imagine a sector of society (15% of the population) with the power to have 50% say over the outcome of law-making process.

Absurd and extremely dangerous.
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December 22, 2011 12:45pm
Pete George

4. There will be no ministerial resignations due to scandal in 2012.

That’s more like a Santa wish than a prediction, but hopefully granted.
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December 22, 2011 1:49pm
iMP

1. John Banks and Colin Craig will patch up Auck mayoralty issues and blend ACT & Consv. partiers under a new name after the MMP review findings are published. Peter Dunne will be invited to talks.
2. Nicky Hager will publish a shock horror nasty National book in spring 2014.
3. There will be a palace coup in North Korea by end of 2013.
4. There will be a death or serious injury caused by Sea Shepherd in the Whale Wars which will damage their cause. Peter Bethune will publish an inside whistle blowing book.
5. Peter Beck will win the Chch Council by-election in Feb 2012.
6. NZF will provide MP incompetence mirth and scandal in 2012.
7. The Muslim Brotherhood will tighten sharia law government on Egypt in 2012.
8. There will be a military coup in Myanmar (Burma).
9. There will be an anti-technology swing-back socially in late 2012.
10. David Carter will be the new speaker after Lockwood goes to London.
11. MP Liane Dalziel will fight the 2013 Chch mayoralty.
12. There will be civil unrest and then factional war in Iraq in 2012.
13. A new candidate will enter the US Republican Presidential nomination race in 2012.
14. Michael Laws will enter another Reality TV-type show.
15. TVNZ reporters will get younger, less well-informed, and more stupid.
16. The Canterbury economy will exceed NZ average growth.
17. Yellow will be bought by an online company.
18. Israel will pre-emptively strike Iranian nuclear capacity while the UN dithers.
19. Genocidial maniacs will attack southern Sudan from the North.
20. China will allow freedom of religion with conditions in 2013.
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December 22, 2011 3:10pm
Viking2

Manolo (5,708) Says:
December 22nd, 2011 at 12:45 pm

12. The constitutional review will propose an upper house known as the “Treaty House” which is 50 per cent tangata whenua, and will have similar powers to the House of Lords to scrutinise and delay legislation.

I hope this “prediction” of yours doesn’t come to pass. Imagine a sector of society (15% of the population) with the power to have 50% say over the outcome of law-making process.

Absurd and extremely dangerous.

That’s why 1000 people per week are leaving NZ. WTF is our govt. about?
Hopeless bastards.
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December 22, 2011 6:14pm
pdm

re your no2. – If Arsenal Taylor does not measure up and becomes a Winston clone he will quickly become known around the blogs as Arsehole Taylor.
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December 22, 2011 8:22pm
iMP

Can I add two more?

21. Meryl Streep 2012 Academy Award/Oscar for “Iron Lady” (Maggie Thatcher). The new “Kings’ Speech”.
22. AirNZ will start re-flying to Antarctica.
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December 23, 2011 10:59am
ross

Paula Bennett will continue to be obnoxious and arrogant and will continue to refuse to publicly apologise for breaching the Privacy Act.
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December 23, 2011 3:59pm

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