Mood of the Boardroom
Attended the annual Herald’s Mood of the Boardroom breakfast yesterday. A big crowd gather to hear the results of the survey by Fran O’Sullivan, plus speeches and Q&A with the Finance Minister and normally the Opposition Spokesperson. For some reason David Cunliffe couldn’t attend this year, which was a pity.
Around 350 CEOs took part in the survey. Now before anyone states the obvious, no of course they are not a representative sample of New Zealanders. But as a group they manage a greater share of the economy than the Government does, and their view on business conditions determines whether or not billions of dollars of investments and purchases occur. So I regard it as a very good group to get views from.
Some of the findings were:
- 79% support there being a Regulatory Responsibility Act
- 70% support mining on the conservation estate, so long as conservation values are retained or restored
- 62% are focused on reducing energy costs
- 60% support foreshore & seabed reform
- 76% want ACC opened up to competition
- 58% want the NZ company tax rate to be below Australia’s
- 57% support partial listings of some SOEs on the NZX
I found it interesting that partial sales of SOES had the least support, even though still a majority.
The budget was rated 3.63/5 (think 73%) as a solid foundation for future growth, 3.8 (76%) as business friendly and 3.92 (78%) as making the taxt system fairer.
The eight top ranked Ministers were:
- John Key 4.58
- Steve Joyce 4.50
- Chris Finlayson 4.47
- Tony Ryall 4.09
- Simon Power 4.08
- Judith Collins 4.08
- bill English 4.06
- Jonathan Coleman 4.03
Individual Labour spokesperson were not ranked but 98% of CEOs said Labour’s leadership has yet to begin carving out a credible alternative to the Government.
The top ten domestic issues of concern (out of 10) were:
- Labour productivity 7.2
- Regulation 6.9
- Skills and labour shortages 6.9
- Level of govt spending 6.9
- Adequacy of infrastructure 6.8
- NZ dollar level 6.7
- Wage increases 6.4
- ETS 6.2
- Level of NZ Govt borrowing 6.1
- Access to capital 5.9
The top ten international issues affecting confidence are:
- Instability in capital markets 8.5
- Protracted global recession 8.4
- Level of borrowing by govts 8.0
- Strength of US recovery 7.7
- Exchange rate volatility 7.7
- US dollar value 7.2
- Competition for global talent 6.5
- Protectionism 6.3
- Commodity prices 6.2
- Global inflation 6.2
They also ranked the two leading candidate for Mayor on several attributes on a 1 to 5 scale
- Leadership skills – Banks 3.47 v Brown 3.06
- Puts interest of Auckland over political alignment – Banks 3.33 v Brown 2.74
- Vision and strategy – Banks 3.33 v Brown 2.99
- Management – Banks 3.27 v Brown 2.63
- Experience – Banks 4.11 v brown 2.84
- Judgement – Banks 3.26 v Brown 2.51
- Trustworthiness – Banks 3.37 v Brown 2.86
- Ability to form support within Council – Banks 2.98 v Brown 3.15
- Economic management – Banks 3.65 v Brown 2.56
- Courage – Banks 4.30 v Brown 3.46
But 50% of CEOs want a new candidate to also enter the race.
Also 85% of CEOs support compulsory superannuation, as in Australia.
And ratings of various aspects of the budget:
- Closing loopholes for Working for Families 4.73
- Increase in GST 4.44
- Personal tax cuts 4.24
- Corporate tax rate cut 4.21
- Aligning top personal and trust rates 4.09
- Change tax treatment for LACQ’s 4.06
- Axe depreciation for residential housing 4.01
- Cuts to savings vehicle tax rates 3.95
- Reduction in thin cap threshold from 75% to 60% 3.63
- Ace depreciation on commercial buildings 3.17
- Axe 20% depreciation loading on new assets 3.16