February 2010 Public Polls

Just sent out the monthly newsletter summarising the public polls in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, the US and the UK. The summary:

February saw four political polls – a Roy Morgan poll, a TVNZ poll, a TV3 poll and a NZ Herald poll.

The average of the public polls has National 22% ahead of Labour and able to govern alone. The gap in January was also 22%.

Australia sees Labor’s federal lead decline to 13% with Roy Morgan and 4% with Newspoll. In the states Labor leads in South Australia and the Greens look likely to hold the balance of power in Tasmania.

In the United States Barack Obama has a net positive rating of 3%, the same as January and in the generic congressional poll, the Republicans are tied with the Democrats.

In the UK, the polls have continued to improve for Labour and the average has the Conservatives only 5% ahead, which is projected to give Labour more seats than the Conservatives.

In Canada the Conservatives are only 2% ahead of the Liberals, a big drop from a 9% lead in December.

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