Will Palin run?

Up until her speech to the Tea Party Convention, I was certain Sarah Palin would not run for President. Almost without exception, the senior Republicans I talk to dismiss her chances. She has little support from the Republican hierarchy.

But a friend viewed live (via TV) her speech to the convention, and their conclusion half way through was that she will probably run for President. Her speech dominated the headlines that day.

Palin in 2008 was not ready to be President. Her lack of both domestic and foreign policy knowledge showed. If she had become VP, and McCain had died, it would have ratehr interesting. Of course if Obama died, and Biden became President that same arguably applies – Biden may have experience, but my God he far exceeds Quayle for gaffes. Even Obama has joked about it.

The story that Palin had some notes written on her hand will not harm her. People prefer notes on a hand to a teleprompter.

I still can’t see Palin as the Republican nominee. She does deliver some good speeches, and is talented at mocking the left. But I’ve yet to see any independent policy agenda of her own.She also have no experienced political staff.

However even if she does not stand for President, she may become the kingmaker. Her endorsement will be highly sought.