Electorate Projections
Kiwi Poll Guy applies his maths to the current poll ratings, to project how many electorate seats each party could expect – based on overall poll ratings.
Currently National has 41 seats, Labour 21, Maori 5 and one each to ACT, United and Progressive.
KPG projects:
- National 50
- Labour 12
- ACT 1
- Maori 5 – 6
- Progressive 1
- United 1 (58% chance of retaining Ohariu)
Now these are of course mathematical calculations, and do not take into account individual issues and people in each seat.
I recommend people subscribe to KPG, if you are a devoted poll watcher.