New iPredict Site
iPredict have redone their website. It is much better. I especially like being able to browse markets by category.
Probably timely to do a review of my current investments, and some other interesting stocks. First my portfolio:
- Own 200 of Peters.Leader – never thought he would give up this year. Got for 39c so will make big profit
- Own 100 of PM.2011.National. Got at 67c and as will not pay out until end of 2011, not a huge return on investment. But as I can’t see Goff being made PM, worth putting some money where my mouth is.
- Own 200 of Mayor.Brown. Now this does not mean I think Len Brown will win. Just that I thought he was undervalued at 15c which is the price I purchased for. He formally announces this weekend so I might sell once that puts his price up. Depends what it goes to.
- Sold 445 DL.King.09. Yes I will get $445 if Annette stays on this year – average sale price 25c.
- Sold 300 FAS04.repeal as can’t see it being totally repealed by end of 2009 due to need for select cmte stage. Sale price was 71c so a good profit I hope.
- Sold 50 GST.UP.JULy10 for 23c. I can see the Govt having GST go up, but now by 1 July 2010. If annoucned in Budget 2010, prob take effect from 1 Oct 2010.
- Sold 650 Lead.Goff.09. I’ll lose $650 if Goff is rolled this year. Don’t do it Trevor.
- Sold 100 Min.Depart2.09 at 37c. I hope no more casualties by year end.
- Sold 541 MP.Anderton at 31c. Anderton has said he will not announce any retirement this year.
- Sold 336 Nat.Maori.09 for 18c. No chance of a dissolution by end of 2009.
- Sold 100 OCR.INCR.Apr10 for 31c. Currently at 40c so only stock I am on wrong side of. This is me saying I do not beleive the OCR will increase before April 2010. Bollard all but ruled it out a few months ago but market is not so sure it seems.
- Sold 100 OCR.INCR.Jan10 for 21c. Currently at 9c so market agrees no OCR increase this year.
- Sold 500 S92A.disconnect at average price of 20c. Will pay out on 1 Sep 2009 as no one can be disconnected by then.
- Sold 250 Zim.Mugabe for 56c. Will pay out if he remains President by end of year so should be a nice payoff.
I have no spare cash at the moment as ipredict only allow so much to be deposited every six months. Come 1 September and I’ll have $400 to invest. Some interesting stock:
- Field.Prison at 96c meaning 96% probability of getting a prison sentence when sentenced.
- 87c for Nat Bank August Confidence Index to be at least +20
- 7c for a 2010 snap election
- 22c for Judith Tizard to return to Parliament this term
- 20c for Winston to return in 2011
- 13c for National to vote for three strikes bill
- 0.13c (not 13c) for Andrew Williams to become Mayor of Auckland
- 89c for OCR not to change in October
- 9c for a sharemarket crash of over 250 points
- 19c for Fitch Ratings to downgrade NZ by July 2010
- 53c for petrol price in late September to be between 162c and 170c
- 43c for Malcolm Turnbull to be replaced as Aust Libs Leader before their election
- 91c for global temperatures to be higher in 2009 than 2008
- However only 6c for 2009 temperatures to be highest ever
- 94c for June GDP growth to be negative
- Only 19c for September GDP growth to be negative though