HoS on Auckland Central

The Herald on Sunday looks at the race for Auckland Central, and profiles National candidate Nikki Kaye.

I calculated in March, that based on an average swing, National would win Auckland Central if it beats Labour by 13% in the electorate vote. Of course swings are never average – as local factors always are a big influence.

But the calculations I did in March got me thinking that it would be useful to do an electoral pendulum showing what seats would swap hands at different levels of vote – if the swing applies consistently across the board. So I’ll work on that in my spare time.