March Public Polls

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The seats projection show how things got tighter in March, but would still have a CR majority. The centre parties are NZ First, Maori Party and United Future. I am considering adding in a calculation which adds NZ First and United Future to whichever party is largest in the polls, as they have both said they will give first negotiating priority to the largest party. Mind you that would not affect this graph much as NZ First are calculated at zero seats, but may be important later if they pick up.

The minor parties are interesting. The Greens have dropped again from their high in January. NZ First has been declining since November 2007 and are now in 5th place behind the Maori Party.