Super Tuesday Summary

The biggest states tend to be the ones at the beginning. The first number is the Dem delegates, with 2,025 needed for victory and the second number is Rep delegates with 1,191 for victory.

  1. California (370/170) – Clinton and McCain
  2. New York (232/87) – Clinton and McCain
  3. Illinois (153/87) – Obama and McCain
  4. Georgia (103/72) – Obama and Huckabee
  5. New Jersey (107/52) – Clinton and McCain
  6. Missouri (72/58) – Obama (leading) and McCain
  7. Tennessee (68/39) -Clinton and Huckabee
  8. Massachusetts (93/43) – Clinton and Romney
  9. Arizona (56/53) – Clinton and McCain
  10. Alabama (52/48) – Obama and Huckabee
  11. Connecticut (48/30) – Obama and McCain
  12. Oklahoma (38/41) – Clinton and McCain
  13. Arkansas (35/34) – Clinton and Huckabee
  14. Delaware (15/18) – Obama and McCain
  15. Utah (23/36) – Obama and Romney
  16. Colorado (71/46) – Obama and Romney
  17. Alaska (18/29) – Obama and no result yet
  18. North Dakota (21/26) – Obama and Romney
  19. Kansas (21/0) – Obama,
  20. New Mexico (26/0) – Clinton (leading)
  21. Montana (0/25) – Romney
  22. Idaho (12/0) – Obama
  23. West Virginia (0/30) – Huckabee
  24. Minnesota (72/0) – Obama and Romney

So the states for each candidate are:

  • Clinton –  Arizona, Arkansas, California, Massachusetts, New Jersey, New York,  Oklahoma, Tennessee, plus leading in New Mexico
  • Obama – Alabama, Alaska, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Kansas, Minnesota, North Dakota, Utah plus leading in Missouri
  • McCain – Arizona, Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Delaware, Illinois, Missouri, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma
  • Romney – Colorado, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Montana, North Dakota, Utah
  • Huckabee – Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee, West Virginia,

And delegate totals for each candidate are:

  • Clinton – 591
  • Obama – 476
  • Edwards – 26
  • McCain – 487
  • Romney – 176
  • Huckabee – 122
  • Paul -11

On the Republican side McCain is in pole position but neither Romney nor Huckabee is withdrawing. Hard to see how McCain can get stopped but if Romney wins California that will be a big boost.

The Democratic contest is going to carry on for some time. California will be important also but either can win from here.

UPDATE: California has closed. No results yet but the exit polls have Clinton ahead by 6.3% and McCain ahead by 1.5%.

UPDATE2: Tables above updated.  Clinton and McCain win California. While Clinton is 115 delegates ahead of Obama she is only 28 ahead amongst pledged delegates. This is the closest primary race in decades

And while McCain is a very clear front runner, again it is pretty historic that both parties have emerged from Super Tuesday without a nominee.

The next few Republican states are Louisiana, Washington and Kanasas on 9 Feb and then Virginia, Maryland and DC on 12 Feb.  Big states like Texas are not until March.

On the Democratic side they have Washington, Louisiana and Nebraska on the 9th, Maine on the 10th and also Virginia, Maryland and DC on the 12th.  Looking way out they have Texas on 4 March for 228 delegates and Pennsylvania on 22 April with 188.

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