It may be getting close to all over
It may be getting close to being over for Clinton in primaries. While she will hold on until the Mini Tuesday on the 4th, she has multiple problems:
- Five polls out yesterday showed Obama ahead nationally by an average of 7% – the lead ranged from 2% to 16%
- Clinton’s lead in Texas has dropped to an average of just 0.7%.
- The head to head averages show Obama beating McCain by 5,2% but McCain beating Clinton by 3.6%
On the Republican side, an end is in sight. McCain now has 1,013 delegates of the 1,191 he needs. So around 180 more needed. There are 265 up for grabs on the 4th so he should become the nominee on that day.
UPDATE: Jay Cost at Real Clear Politics analyses the numbers and works out how Clinton can still win – unlikely he says, but not impossible.