Iowa Entrance Polls
CNN has some interesting data in the entrance polls they did in Iowa. First the Republicans:
- Huckabee had 40% support from women and only 29% from men. Thompson took some of his male support.
- McCain got 17% amongst those who thought events in Pakistan were very important and 3% amongst those who said not too important.
- 60% of Iowa Republicans are born-agains or evangelicals and they were 46% Huckabee to 19% Romney. Amongst those who are not, it is 33% Romney, 14% Huckabee
- 13% of those voting were Independents and 29% of them voted Ron Paul
- 67% said religious beliefs matter a great deal or somewhat
Now the Democrats:
- Obama beats Clinton amongst female voters 35% to 30%
- Clinton gets 33% to 31% for Obama for those who says events in Pakistan very important
- Amongst registered Democrats it is Obama 32% to Clinton 31%. But for Independents (who were 20% of the caucus attendees) it is 41% Obama to 17% Clinton
- Clinton narrowly leads 29% to 28% amongst married attendees but for singles it is Obama 43% to 24% for Clinton.
- Obama does better amongst very liberal and somewhat liberal attendees than moderates.
- Edwards was highest amongst people who had attended a caucus before (30%) but for first timers Obama got 41%.
- 52% say the top quality is ability to bring about change, and of those 51% voted Obama.
- Obama got 57% of under 30s (who made up 22% of the attendees) to 11% for Clinton. Of those over 65 (also 22%) it is 45% Clinton and 18% Obama.
This is all invaluable data for the campaign strategists. Looking at this Clinton is in real trouble. Also Huckabee’s victory is less impressive when you see where his support comes from.