Final French polls

I’ve been quite disappointed with Segolene Royal in the last two weeks. She seems to have abandoned campaigning on her policies and strengths to a launch a series of character attacks and alarmist statements against her opponent. She really deserves to lose. She took a bold initiative early on with announcing 100 policies in one day (not that I agreed with them, but it was a good thing to do), but in desperation has gone down the usual leftish track of warning of of riots and violence if her opponent wins.

France bans polls in the last two days, but there were nine polls done in May. Sarokozy in April averaged a 53 to 37 lead. In May it has averaged 53.7% to 46.3% so Sarokozy seems to be fairly secure. I think he will win by a 5% to 8% margin.