The accuracy of carbon predictions

Just three years ago, the International Energy Agency said that China would overtake the US as the biggest carbon emitter, sometime after 2025.

It has now been revealed that in fact they will overtake the US this year.

The flawed Kyoto Protocol has effectively zero obligations on China, which will be the biggest emitter. Kyoto is as much about punish the west as it is climate change.

Also makes you wonder about some of the numbers underlying policy decisions, when they can get it so wrong for just one country.