Fairfax Poll
The Fairfax Poll this morning has National 3% ahead of Labour. This confirms that Labour’s anti-Brash campaign has failed to resonate and that voters are actually focused on policies – which is a good thing.
The results are:
National 44%
Labour 41%
Green 5%
NZ First 4%
United Future 2%
ACT 1%
Maori 1%
Now what this means for seats is fascinating if we assume on the basis of public polls only Anderton, Dunne and Turia retain their seats of the Leaders:
National 57
United 3
Labour 53
Green 6
Progressive 1
Maori 1
So a four way coalition of the left would have a 1 seat majority.
If the Greens did drop below 5% and are wiped out, then it would be:
National 60
United Future 3
Labour 56
Maori 1
Progressive 1
Now for the sake of argument if NZ First and ACT won an electorate seat it would be:
National 54
ACT 1
United Future 2
NZ First 5
Labour 51
Green 6
Maori 1
Progressive 1