Almost neck and neck
Today’s Fairfax poll has Labour 1 ahead of National, almost neck and neck. This is taken before the 1st debate which will help Labour a wee bit, but it shows how tight the race still is.
The seats on this poll would be:
Labour 52
National 51
Green 7
NZ First 7
United 2
Maori 1
Progressive 1
To get to 61 seats Labour would need a four way coalition of Labour/Progressive/Greens and either United or Maori Party.