Poll Demographics

The NZ Herald has reported some demographic breakdowns in its latest poll.

Now the first think to remember is that the sample size for a demographic group is quite small – sometimes only 200 or so, and hence the margin of error can be as high as 8% or so.

But bearing that in mind, it is interesting that National leads by 13% amongst men, and trails by only 6% amongst women. Traditionally world-wide CR parties have a 10%+ gap with women voters.

On the age breakdown, it is superb to see young people voting for their future. with National having its strongest support from 18 to 24 year olds.

What is also fascinating is that for the first time in 15 years probably, National has more support than Labour amongst over 65 year olds. This is ironically due to the resurgence of NZ First.

Once again no-one should take the numbers above as gospel, but they do point to some interesting trends.