One Network News Poll

A ONN poll came out today. It had party vote support as

Lab 45% (-1)
Nat 38% (+3)
NZF 7% (+2)
Gre 4% (-1)
ACT 3% (+0)
Maori 1% (+0)
Uni 1% (+0)

Assuming Anderton and Dunne retain their seats, and the Maori Party win five electorate seats, then the makeup of a Parliament on this poll would be:

Labour 59 (+8)
National 50 (+23)
NZ First 9 (-4)
Maori 5 (+4)
Progressive 1 (-1)
United 1 (-7)
ACT 0 (-9)
Green 0 (-9)

Total 125

One would need 63 seats to govern so Labour would need a deal with either NZ First or the Maori Party.

Another interesting aspect to the poll was that only 26% thing the economy will improve in the next 12 months while 43% say it will get worse.

Also Tamihere appears in preferred PM stakes for the first time at 3%.