A Pak’n’Save store owner writes to Chloe

A must read Facebook post from a small business owner, whose business Chloe wants to confiscate off her.

Aroha Tahau writes:

Dear Chlöe,

I have been up since 4am this morning.

It is raining. I am 16 weeks pregnant, and I have left my children at home with my partner, who will get them ready, take them to school and then come straight into work alongside me.

And strangely enough, I am still excited to go to work.

I am writing this because lately I have found it increasingly difficult to reconcile the political narrative I hear about supermarket owners, the supermarket “duopoly”, business owners and profit, with the life my partner and I are actually living.

I don’t pretend to understand every part of the economics or politics of the supermarket industry. I am relatively new to it. But I do understand what it looks like from the floor of a small Four Square in one of New Zealand’s most remote communities.

And I would genuinely like you to understand our perspective too.

Before this, my partner Carl and I lived a very different life.

We spent around a decade in France while he played professional rugby. We lived on the French Riviera. We travelled, we experienced extraordinary things, met incredibly successful people and, by most measures, had a pretty phenomenal life.

We could probably have continued that life for considerably longer.

But at some point, having a good life isn’t enough. We wanted something meaningful.

Through people we knew in the supermarket industry, including seeing the impact people such as Eric Rush had been able to have on their teams and communities, we became attracted to supermarket ownership.

Not because we thought selling groceries sounded glamorous.

Because owning a Four Square puts you in a position within a community where you can actually contribute something positive.

So we packed up our lives and brought our family home.

Our children went from an affluent French-speaking school environment to English-speaking schooling in New Zealand and then, eventually, to full-immersion kura kaupapa Māori on the East Coast. We wanted our children to know their culture, their language and where they came from.

Our first business opportunity on the East Coast didn’t work out. There were plenty of reasons for that, and it would have been very easy to pack up and leave.

Instead, we stayed.

We started working at Four Square Ruatoria.

Then, in January 2026, the East Coast flooded.

That period probably showed me more clearly than anything else why I wanted to be part of this industry.

Our own children had to leave the Coast, so we took them to Papamoa to be with family. Carl and I then left them there and returned to the East Coast, not knowing when we would see them again, because communities here had been cut off and there was work to do.

On my way back, I stopped — completely unannounced — at New Worlds and PAK’nSAVEs along the way asking for help.

The response was never, “What’s in it for us?”

It was:

“What do you need?”

“Your trailer isn’t big enough.”

“We can give you more.”

I returned to the Coast loaded with food.

We sat with whānau and local crisis teams trying to understand what communities actually needed. What people told us was interesting: they weren’t necessarily frightened about that day. Civil Defence and government support were getting food through.

They were frightened about what happened when that support stopped.

Through the Foodstuffs network and charitable support, systems were put in place to continue getting food into isolated communities. At times, transport movements costing thousands of dollars were being made to serve relatively tiny populations.

Was every one of those trips economically sensible in isolation?

Probably not.

Was it the right thing to do?

Absolutely.

And that distinction matters.

A few months later, Four Square Ruatoria became available, and Carl and I were fortunate enough to become its owners.

We now live and operate a supermarket in a community hours from a major centre.

Yesterday is a perfect example of what that means.

Our delivery couldn’t make it to us.

I called a PAK’nSAVE owner in Gisborne and explained the situation.

His response was essentially: “What do you need? Send me the list. We’ll get it ready.”

So my partner got into his truck and drove to Gisborne. We knew he wouldn’t be home until around 10pm.

Why?

Because this morning our community needed fruit and kai on the shelves.

That is the “duopoly” from where I am standing.

It is a cooperative network that means a little supermarket in Ruatoria can access supply, logistics, buying power, knowledge and support that I struggle to imagine could otherwise economically reach us.

I’m not suggesting the supermarket industry is perfect. Of course it isn’t.

Nor am I suggesting that supermarkets shouldn’t face scrutiny, regulation or be challenged to do better.

But I struggle with a narrative that reduces people like us to greedy supermarket owners interested only in profit.

Yes, I want to make money.

I want a good life for my family.

I don’t apologise for that.

I am prepared to work extraordinarily hard for it, too.

For the past three months, Carl and I have routinely started around 5am and finished around 10pm. Often the time we spend with our children is while they are with us at the shop.

One of the reasons we chose this life was because we wanted our children to see what hard work and service look like.

Three weeks after taking ownership, it was our seven-year-old son’s birthday.

He asked me what we were doing for his birthday.

I told him, “Boy, we’re doing a sausage sizzle. You can give away free sausages and kai to the community for your birthday.”

He was thrilled.

Most seven-year-olds probably wouldn’t spend their birthday helping their parents run a free community sausage sizzle.

But I looked at him that day and thought: this is exactly why we’re doing this.

He is learning that success isn’t just about what you can accumulate. It is also about what your position allows you to give.

Since taking over the store, we have invested in improving it because we want Ruatoria to have a supermarket people are proud of. We’ve painted the interior and exterior. We’re investing back into the store while carefully managing the cash flow of a young business. We employ around 20 local people.

One of my greatest ambitions is to develop our team and expose them to opportunities they might otherwise never receive.

We are looking at taking one of our young team members to Auckland for development. When we talked about it, he told me he had never really been anywhere beyond Gisborne.

How cool is it that a little supermarket can potentially open that door for someone?

Even seemingly insignificant things matter.

We bought children’s shopping trolleys for the store. That’s completely normal in plenty of supermarkets around New Zealand.

Here, they’re exciting.

A nanny recently told me she didn’t even need groceries, but the children insisted they come into Four Square because they wanted to push the little trolleys around.

That’s tiny.

But it creates joy.

And sometimes, in a small rural community, tiny things aren’t actually tiny.

One interaction in our first couple of weeks of ownership will probably stay with me forever.

An older kuia approached me in an aisle and asked whether Carl and I were the new owners.

I said yes.

She became teary and asked if she could hug me.

She told me how proud she was that their community had Māori owners of their supermarket.

I cannot put a dollar value on that.

And that is ultimately why I wanted to write to you.

When politicians talk about “the supermarkets”, “the duopoly”, “profits” and business owners, those words eventually land on real people.

They land on us.

They land on a pregnant woman getting up at 4am in the rain.

They land on a husband driving six or seven hours because a truck didn’t arrive and his community needs fresh food.

They land on two parents whose children sometimes spend their birthdays at the supermarket.

They land on the wages of 20 people in a small East Coast town.

They land on a young employee who might get on a plane and see Auckland for the first time.

And they land on an elderly kuia who cried because she was proud that people from her own culture owned an important business in her community.

I am not asking you to stop scrutinising supermarkets.

I am not asking you to believe our industry is perfect.

And I am certainly not asking you to feel sorry for us. We chose this. We love it.

What I am asking is that when we debate the future of supermarkets and businesses in New Zealand, we remember that not every business owner is a faceless corporation sitting in an office calculating how much they can extract from a customer.

Some of us live amongst the people we serve.

Our customers are our neighbours.

Our employees are people whose children go to school with ours.

When the road closes, we are cut off too.

When the community struggles, we see it at the checkout.

And when something goes wrong, people don’t call a corporate office.

They walk down the aisle and find us.

There needs to be room in our political conversation for scrutiny of profit and recognition of enterprise, risk, service and hard work.

Because if we create a country where making money through hard work is inherently treated with suspicion, or where every successful business is assumed to have succeeded at somebody else’s expense, I worry about what we are teaching the next generation.

I want my children to believe they can work hard, take risks, create employment, make money, contribute to their community and be proud of all of those things at the same time.

Those things do not have to be mutually exclusive.

So Chlöe, if you’re ever on the East Coast, come and see us.

Come to Ruatoria.

Come behind the counter. Meet our team. Drive the roads our freight travels. See what happens when the truck doesn’t turn up. Talk to the whānau who shop with us.

You may still disagree with me on plenty.

That’s okay.

But I think you might leave understanding that behind a word like “duopoly” can sit something far more human than our political debate sometimes allows for.

Aroha Tahau

Owner-Operator

Four Square Ruatoria

General Debate 24 September 2026

Partridge on who makes the law

Roger Partridge writes:

Attorney-General Chris Bishop spoke to the Law Association on August 6. Solicitor-General Anna Adams, KC, spoke to the Legal Research Foundation last Thursday. Both answered emphatically: making the law is Parliament’s job.

I blogged previously on the speech by the Attorney-General. I had not yet covered the speech by the Solicitor-General, which is also very useful. Some extracts:

When I took silk in May this year after being appointed as Solicitor-General, following the ceremony I made a short speech. I expressed my view that the enduring ideals of individual liberty, equality and solidarity are the foundation of justice and noted the particular importance of liberty of thought and expression in the law.

I described myself as an avowedly black-letter lawyer. I said that I believed the law should deliver certainty, predictability and equal application to like cases.

The emphasis on certainty and predictability is important.

The second concerns the common law, which includes enduring and long-protected values.

If the rule of law requires predictability, the common law must develop by the extension of principle to new circumstances, not by judicial revision of settled doctrine. This is important because the common law applies retrospectively – the parties find out the law when they bring their case after the event, and this strongly demands predictability. Parliamentary law- making, by contrast, applies prospectively, and can therefore be more radical without undermining predictability.

A crucial difference.

What the Crown should not be expected to do, is invite the court to read clear statutory language in a manner that is not reasonably available on the text in order to achieve rights consistency. The architecture of sections 4, 5 and 6 of the Bill of Rights Act, and indeed our constitutional architecture, do not permit that.

Sadly, the Supreme Court is very happy to read read statutory language in an unreasonable manner.

Partridge notes:

Twenty years ago, neither speech would have been needed. Yet over the past decade, lawyers have watched the Supreme Court stray further and further outside its lane. Leading barrister and former Law Commissioner Jack Hodder, KC, told the Legal Research Foundation’s 2024 Supreme Court conference that he watched the court’s “mission creep” with “a troubling sense of unease”.

He says further:

Because they bind Crown lawyers rather than judges, the speeches themselves do not change the law. But they end any excuse for ignoring the criticism. The Court has been able to treat its critics as a handful of outspoken academics and King’s Counsel. It now faces law officers and a Parliament that has twice legislated to correct aberrant decisions, first when the court lowered the bar Parliament had set for customary title to the coastline, then with Smith’s climate change claim.

Both speeches are significant, as is the fact Parliament has twice moved to overturn Supreme Court decisions.

The Hager story implodes even more

I wasn’t going to blog again on the Hager book as it was already clear he had so many things absolutely wrong. But three more things today are too noteworthy to pass by.

1)

Nick Mowbray has denied absolutely that he has ever donated to the Taxpayers’ Union or been inside their office – claims Hager reported as fact. The irony is that Mowbray has now donated to the Taxpayers Union as he is so outraged by the lies in Hager’s book about him. Hager may prove to be the best fundraiser the Taxpayers’s Union has ever had!

2) In the book Hager wrote:

The TU board has paid out money to deal with… at least one sexual harassment case against Williams.

So the book was crystal clear. The Board paid out money to settle a sexual harassment case against Williams.

The TU Chair has stated that she has consulted the two immediate past chairs and board members during the entire tenure of the organisation and that no one has any knowledge of any complaint, let alone a payment.

So what did Hager say on Ryan Bridge this morning:

I wouldn’t make an allegation like that, which is actually only one one line of a book. I wouldn’t make an allegation like that without having very solid information. In this case, it was two separate sources who knew about what had happened. They also knew that that had been very carefully hidden, hidden even from members of their own board, because they didn’t want the the settlement to be known about.

So the book claims the board paid out the money, and having had that refuted, he now claims it was a secret payout hidden from the board!!!

There is no capacity for a secret payout. A minimum of two directors are needed to authorise all payments from the bank account.

3) As I blogged earlier Hager claimed I broke the law and provided a National Party database to the TU for use in a direct mail campaign in 2020. I am outraged that such a serious allegation with no substance was included in the book. The TU has searched its records and found the invoice from the commercial company they purchased direct mail records from.

How anyone can take the book seriously is beyond me.

38 seats now profiled

I’ve been busy since last week and have now profiled 38 electorate races on my Patreon. Have now covered from Invercargill to Tauranga, and three of the seven Māori seats.

The breakdown of the 38 to date is

National

  • Safe 15
  • Likely 2
  • Leans 3
  • Total 20

Labour

  • Safe 8
  • Leans 5
  • Total 13

Greens

  • Likely 1
  • Leans 1
  • Total 2

Te Pāti Māori

  • Likely 1

Counterprotest in Auckland against anti-Israel protest on anniversary weekend of October 7 2023

By Lucy Rogers

Anti-Israel protesters in Auckland are deliberately taking part in a global day of protest against Israel on Saturday October 10 2026, which is the anniversary weekend of Hamas committing genocide on October 7 2023. This is appalling and proves my point that a significant proportion of the anti-Israel movement are intellectually dishonest. There are 51 other weekends they could be protesting in the year and they chose this one.

What Hamas did on October 7 2023 was obscene. 1450 Israelis a majority of whom were civilians were tortured, raped, set on fire, physically ripped apart while they were still alive, kidnapped and murdered. Parents were murdered in front of their children, children were murdered in front of their parents. The Civil Commission report of this year found that Hamas after ripping people apart had sex with pieces of their corpses, recorded it on video, and then posted footage to the victims’ own Facebook pages using their mobile phones.

NZ Against Hamas is holding a counterprotest. I and Juliet Moses will be speaking along with other speakers TBC. Please consider joining us: it’s at 1.45pm October 10 2026 outside Britomart in downtown Auckland in Te Komititanga Square. Our counterprotest is officially endorsed by the New Zealand Jewish Council.

Victim blaming on the anniversary weekend of October 7 of all days is a sickening act of evil.

Prebble and ChatGPT score the last two Governments

Richard Prebble asked ChatGPT to score the last two Governments on how they had performed in key areas. The summary is:

  • Cost of Living: Labour-led: 10/30, National:led: 19/30
  • Health: Labour-led: 10/20, National:led: 11/20
  • Crime: Labour-led: 4/15, National:led: 11/15
  • Debt: Labour-led: 3/15, National:led: 5.15
  • Housing: Labour-led: 4/10, National:led: 6/10
  • Education: Labour-led: 3/10, National:led: 7/10

This was all based on actual data. So overall the Labour-led Government got 34/100 and the current Government 59/100. The point being 59/100 is not brilliant, but it is much much much better than what came before.

General Debate 23 September 2026

Hager’s work of fiction

Nicky’s Hager’s last book had an enquiry led by a former Supreme Court Judge, and a former Attorney General and Prime Minister. They concluded that the “principal allegations” in Hager’s book “are not accurate”.

This book is even worse. I could spend most of the week detailing the untruths in it, but frankly there is no need. Just take a few.

He claimed the Taxpayers’ Union paid out a sexual harassment complaint against the CE. The TU Chair, Ruth Richardson, has put out a release saying she has consulted every former chair (and me), and can conclusively say that there was not only no payment in a sexual harassment case, there was no complaint. Call me old fashioned – but isn’t printing a false claim in a book without verification, umm dirty politics?

He claimed I supplied data from the National Party to the TU for their affordable housing campaign. This is 1000% false. It never ever happened (or would ever ever happen). The TU purchased some property data from a commercial property company. What sort of so called journalist publishes such an allegation without checking first?

He claimed he only started the book after the TU did a release in mid 2023 saying he was writing a book on them. He claimed former staff contacted him after that. This is false. He contacted former staff aggressively and persistently before then. I’ve seen the e-mails!

He claims I pushed the TU into engaging on the Three Waters issue as some sort of Maori bashing exercise. Again false. I did agree that the TU should engage on Three Waters, but on the issue of accountability – that if you have half the overseers of water companies not democratically accountable that is bad public policy – and that it would apply equally if the proposal was that Federated Farmers appoint half the overseers.

He claimed a former Chair left because of a change in the mission statement. False. The Chair had resigned before that change was debated and made. I could carry on and on.

Basically what we have learnt is that a hard left activist doesn’t like the Taxpayers’ Union. Hold the presses!

Questions media didn’t ask

Radio NZ reports:

A new rangatahi-led campaign is calling on young people to help deliver the biggest youth-voter turnout in Aotearoa’s history.

‘Roll With Us’ has launched on Sunday as part of ‘On A Roll’, a kaupapa aimed at getting more young people enrolled and voting in this year’s general election.

Whenever I read about a new campaign, I get inquisitive. I check out their website. Who is involved. Who funds them etc.

They didn’t have a website a few days ago, but they do now. They say they are a collaboration between:

  • Climate Club Aotearoa
  • Social Change Collective
  • Ngā Māhuri Tiaki | Forest & Bird Youth

Their aim is to increase youth turnout, but specifically:

To increase youth voter turnout by 15% across the motu, especially among rural, Māori, and Pasifika rangatahi.

No surprise who Maori and Pacifika youth tend to vote for.

And who are their key people. The co-convenor is Ethan Reille, who stood for Labour at the last election, and is an organiser for the PSA (which are running a Change the Government campaign)

Now I’m all for left wing lobby groups running get out the vote campaigns. But I bet you that a huge amount of taxpayer dollars has found their way to this group.

Fed Farmers on impact of TOP’s land tax and UBI

Federated Farmers have calculated what would be the net impact of TOP’s land tax and UBI on the average farmer. This is what they found:

  • A single dairy farmer would be $16, 215 worse off each year ($312 a week)
  • A dairy farming couple under 65 would be $3185 better off each year ($61 a week)
  • A dairy farmer over 65 would be $35,615 worse off each year ($685 a week)
  • A single sheep and beef farmer would be $28,511 worse off each year ($528 a week)
  • A sheep and beef farming couple under 65 would be $9111 worse off each year ($175 a week)
  • A sheep and beef farmer over the age of 65 would be $47,911 worse off each year ($921 a week)

$921 a week in extra tax!!

General Debate 22 September 2026

Labour sees sense

1 News reports:

Labour will make no changes to interest deductibility rules for residential landlords if elected, as party leader Chris Hipkins confirms he wouldn’t revisit the settings.

Thi is some rare common sense for Labour. They called it a tax break for landlords, when it was no such thing.

Labour changed the law the last time they were in government to target landlords and treat them different to every other business owner in NZ, by saying they could not deduct the costs of borrowing from their business income. It was entirely unprincipled.

All National did was restore the law so that all businesses are taxed the same – ie can deduct borrowing costs from taxable income.

Pleased that Labour have agreed this is the right thing to do, despite spending three years condemning it.

Heard that before

The Post reports:

Labour leader Chris Hipkins says he is not aiming to make state spending and taxation 33% of the economy, despite his party’s fiscal strategy suggesting it would eventually get there. …

National has attacked the 33% figure, arguing it shows that Labour will need to enact more than just the CGT, which is only expected to raise $1.5 billion within the forecast period ‒ which would not get anywhere close to raising revenue to 33%.

Speaking to reporters on Tuesday following some of these attacks, Hipkins suggested 33% was more of a ceiling than a target.

I’ve heard that before – almost identically.

In 2017 Labour and Greens promised to cap spending at 30% of GDP. In the 2018 budget I noted (with approval) in the Budget lockup that spending was below 29% of GDP, and Grant Robertson replied that 30% was not ceiling, not a target.

Alas, it turned out to be neither, and Labour exceeded the so called ceiling by almost 4% of GDP.

If a ceiling of 30% turns into an actual of 34%, I can only imagine what a ceiling of 34% will turn into!

Naidoo says no systemic racism in Police

Radio NZ reports:

But asked about systemic racism, Naidoo said he had seen no evidence of it during his nearly 25 years in the police force.

“I’ve personally never witnessed any racism within police,” he said. “I do not believe there is institutional racism.”

Naidoo said officers themselves were subjected to racism while dealing with the public, pointing to a broader rise in hate and declining trust in institutions as issues that motivated him to enter politics.

With this common sense, I’m glad he’ll be in the Labour caucus. He not only says he has never seen racism within the Police, but observes it is police officers themselves that are subject to racism from some members of the public.

General Debate 21 September 2026

Penk on TOP

Chris Penk makes some good observations:

The number of left bloc parties needed to form a coalition to govern, on a good day, would be no fewer than four. That’s Labour, the Greens, Te Pati Maori and Opportunity. When I say “on a good day”, naturally I mean from the perspective of Chris Hipkins, Chloe Swarbrick and the taxi drivers who will be transporting the rest of us to Auckland Airport’s international terminal.

I think the idea that you need four parties to agree to form a Government will be off-putting to some people. And TPM is effectively two parties (Tamihere faction and the rest) co-existing together so it could well be more like five parties.

But what of Opportunity’s policies, I hear you ask? It may well be that they have a large number of thoughtful offerings across a range of policy areas. Their hastily-withdrawn policy around “youth justice” was not one of them, however. Raising the age of the Youth Court jurisdiction for a thug just shy of his 25th birthday involves relatively little “youth” and even less “justice”, at least from the victim’s perspective.

Yep, 24 year old rapists would get a family group conference!

Guest Post: Baseload power over solar

A guest post by I am Spartacus:

Both National and Labour are promising to make the installation of roof top solar easier, in the belief that doing so will help the electricity supply. 

It will and there’s something to be said for a dispersed system. However, it does not help on those days when there’s no sun there’s no wind, and everyone’s dinky little battery has run out of juice.

That’s when the grid takes over and supplies ALL the countries power requirements 

To cope you need good old fashioned base load power 

Here’s an Idea;

Instead of Average Joe spending $15,000 on solar cells for his house. He gives a $10,000 lump sum to the power producers.

The power producers deduct 4,500KWH from Joes bill every year for 15 years

After all, had Joe installed solar cells, that reduction in consumption would have cost the power producers anyway

Assuming a 2% rise per KWH each year over that 15 years Joe recovers that $10,000 in about 8 Years, and gets an effective rate of return of 9.2% over the 15 years

The producers mean time amas money sufficient to build actual power stations, lets say Geothermal Power Stations. 

I have run the modelling on AI, assuming the scheme up take is around 15 thousand a year, and over time 2, one hundred MW Geothermal station are built, each costing seven hundred million, then the producers, who still have negative equity for about 3 years, break even after 13 years, and are 4 billion better off 15 years later.

The country has genuine base load power that works on cold windless nights

The overall community cost per KWH has decreased by 50%

Theres no roof top furniture wearing out

Its transferable house to house

The country is better

Joe is Happy

You’re welcome

If you want to be reminded how bad the UK has become

Charlotte Gill is a freelance journalist in the UK. She specialises in reporting on wasteful spending, especially insane academic projects that get huge amounts of UK taxpayer funds.

We’ve had our share of wasteful spending on woke activism posing as academic research, but we are amateurs when compared to the UK. So if you subscribe to Charlotte you may feel depressed about the UK, but you may also feel a but better about NZ.

General Debate 20 September 2026

Guest Post: The Mayors Are Right About Fast-Track: Auckland Council Should Apply The Same Test To Nga Wairau.

A guest post by Nick Kearney:

Wayne Brown and John Glover are right, and it’s worth saying so plainly.

Their joint letter to Infrastructure Minister Chris Bishop, warning that fast-tracked greenfield housing is being forced into places without the roads, water and wastewater capacity to support it, isn’t mayoral posturing.  It’s the correct diagnosis of a genuine flaw in the fast-track legislation.

Chris Bishop’s proposed fix, letting councils update development contributions after a fast-track application is lodged, is a reasonable solution to a real problem.  Nevertheless, it is a proposed solution by the government to a problem created by the government.

Watercare telling the Delmore panel it can’t connect water services near Ōrewa until 2050 is exactly the kind of problem the fast-track legislation created: It allows virtually no cross-checks and balances during the consent process.

New Zealand has a habit of acting in this manner. 

We have issues that appear to be unresolvable through current legislative frameworks, and so the counter reaction is to swing the balance to the extreme in the other direction.

There is a project much closer to my home that deserves exactly the same scrutiny the mayors are demanding of fast-track housing: Ngā Wairau, and specifically the AF Thomas Park works at the heart of it.

This project takes the most used public golf facility in the country, nestled on ~42 hectares of public reserve and conservation land, and converts almost half of it into a wetland and flood detention basin.

All mature trees on the site will come down to make way for it. 

The region, indeed the country, will lose accessible and affordable public golf probably forever, and certainly for somewhere beyond 10 years counting from today.

Costs are already moving in one direction, and so is the expected timeframe for the completion of the works.

Anyone who has watched an Auckland Council infrastructure project over recent years will know which way these numbers tend to move once diggers are on site.

The government is contributing 62% of the Stage 1 costs, estimated to be $112 million (including consent work).  We all know that Crown budgets are also skin-tight. 

The part that should trouble ratepayers most, though, is what the project actually buys them.  Or should I say, what Council has told ratepayers it will buy them.

The Council’s own website proclaims that work in the Wairau commercial area “…are not included in the Stage 1 and 2 project scope due to the significant costs associated and ineligibility for the Crown funding.” 

In other words, the commercial heart of Wairau Valley, the businesses the catchment is named after, gets none, or very little, of the flood protection this project is being sold on. 

It is believed that of the 216 commercial properties affected by the terrible events of January 2023, 211 receive no benefit from the golf course project.

Further, a meaningful share of the “homes protected” figure that does get quoted includes Milford properties.  Yet, of the 165 homes affected by the events of early 2023, in the surrounding area, 133 of them have been bought by council under the Category 3 scheme, with most of those being in Milford.  Those houses aren’t being protected at all from the flood detention work proposed at AF Thomas Park.  They’re already removed from the risk equation, because council itself already has paid to take them out of it.

That is not a small or minor technicality.  It is the same failure the mayors are describing in their letter to Bishop – a project whose costs and benefits were never properly tested against each other, running ahead on momentum rather than analysis.  That is what the fast-track legislation does.  

The difference is that when a fast-track developer does it, council can at least point the finger at Wellington.  When council does it to its own public reserve, its own regional public asset and golf course, and its own ratepayers, there is nobody else to blame.

None of this is an argument against fixing Wairau’s flood risk, or the flood risk of properties downstream.  The events of January 2023 were real, and the catchment needs a genuine answer. 

But a genuine answer starts with an honest benefit-cost case, published in full, that says clearly who is protected and who isn’t.  

It means being straight with North Shore residents about how many years they lose their park, and their golf course, how the public conservation land will be remediated, and when and who pays for it, how the groundwater drawdown effect will affect local properties, and most pressingly whether the benefits outweighs the cost.  The cost must include the net present value of the golf course over a thirty-year lease term, estimated to be in excess of $70 million dollars.  

It is imperative these questions are answered now, and not leaving them “to be determined” for any fast-track consenting process, that is now showing to be very flawed.

Brown and Glover want Wellington to make sure infrastructure spending is properly costed before the bulldozers arrive.  Simon Watts, the local government minister, climate change minister and local member of parliament, asked the same question of councils some weeks ago.  

Ratepayers on the North Shore and throughout Auckland, and taxpayers (because they are funding 62% of the works) are entitled to ask both the government and the Auckland Council for exactly the same things, before all trees at AF Thomas Park come down; the wildlife decimated; the golf course disappears for however many years; and the conservation land becomes a barren wasteland.

Growth paying its way is the right principle.  

It shouldn’t only apply to other people’s projects.

Disclosure: Nick is a lawyer practicing in Auckland and is the lawyer representing the leaseholders of Takapuna Golf Course.

Girls’ vs Boys’ Outcomes in Single Sex Schools (with one co-ed example of within school differences).

Very little to say here as the data speaks for itself. I would be interested in what people think the explanations are. For the odd person who states that ethnicity differences are due to IQ – they may be a bit stumped here. Or do females inherently have higher IQs than males?

School Name % of LEAVERS with UE
Wellington Girls College 85.6
Wellington College75.8
Auckland Girls’ Grammar83.9
Epsom Girls’ Grammar76.8
Auckland Grammar School75.6
Westlake Girls’ High School                     83.0
Westlake Boys’ High School                     79.9
Christchurch Girls’ High School              71.1
Christchurch Boys’ High School             51.2
Palmerston North Girls’ High School     68.8
Palmerston North Boys’ High School    42.2
Otago Girls’ High School                           68.3
Otago Boys’ High School                           55.1
Napier Girls’ High School                          68.0
Napier Boys’ High School                          42.5
New Plymouth Girls’ High School           66.7
New Plymouth Boys’ High School           42.7
Waitaki Girls’ High School                         58.3
Waitaki Boys’ High School                         34.6
Kelston Girls’ College                                 55.0
Kelston Boys’ High School                        15.9
Nelson College for Girls                             52.3
Nelson College                                             38.5
Southland Girls’ High School                   50.7
Southland Boys’ High School                   28.9
Queen’s High School                                  48.5
King’s High School                                       41.7
Tauranga Girls’ College                                             47.6
Tauranga Boys’ College                              37.3
Hamilton Girls’ High School                     47.4
Hamilton Boys’ High School                     44.4
Marlborough Girls’ College                       43.4
Marlborough Boys’ College                       23.7
Whangarei Girls’ High School                  43.0
Whangarei Boys’ High School                  29.6
Timaru Girls’ High School                          42.7
Timaru Boys’ High School                         33.8
Gisborne Girls’ High School                     39.0
Gisborne Boys’ High School                     24.2
Hastings Girls’ High School                      29.9
Hastings Boys’ High School                      21.3
Rotorua Boys’ High School                       21.7
Rotorua Girls’ High School                        18.5

Within School Difference Example: Mt. Albert Grammar 2025 Schools Leavers (2024 for Progression to Degree)

L2 %L3 %UE %Retention to 17To Degree Study
Female87.973.366.186.263.5
Male86.476.156.787.246.8
Asian89.584.068.593.960.5
European90.679.571.788.261.2
Maori73.553.138.966.430.3
Pasifika82.359.436.080.626.9
Total87.174.860.786.853.5

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Impressive

The Daily Mail reports:

Britain’s strictest head mistress has proved her critics wrong yet again with top GCSE results to rival Eton despite serving one of the capital’s most deprived areas.

Katharine Birbalsingh, head of Michaela Community School in Brent, north London, is celebrating more than 50 per cent of her entries being grade 9 – ten times the national average of 5 per cent.

In addition, 82 per cent of all grades were at least a 7 – the equivalent of the old A – compared with around 22 per cent nationwide.

The school in a highly deprived area is achieving scores close to Eton College.

A grade 9 is the top possible, 99% of her school got at least a grade 5. 82% got a 7 or higher (an A), compared to 19% of schools with a similar deprivation.

You could pay 65,000 pounds a year to go to Eton, or you could be lucky enough to go to a school with Birbalsingh is the head mistress.

A star is born

Emma Camp did a pithy 75 second video on why rent controls fail. It caught on. It has now had 4.7 million views.

She now has over 120,000 followers.

General Debate 19 September 2026